giovedì 5 dicembre 2013

Serie A - 15^a giornata


Sampdoria - Catania


Sampdoria's opening odds about 2.05/2.1
Now it's about 1.7/1.75 . People is all over them.

After sampdoria change coach ( sinisa mihajlovic for delio rossi)
sampdoria obtained 2 good draws against lazio and inter

sampdoria - lazio 1-1
inter - sampdoria 1-1

Catania is also in the last place in the table, with a terrible away record: 0-0-7  5/19 and will miss some important player on midfield and on attack.

But i'm still not convinced. 1.7 on sampdoria (1-2-4 at home ) is not enough value.





Torino - Lazio


Really hard match to predict.
Torino at home is really strong,also if they won just 2 out of 7 games.
But they already played against milan (3-3), Roma (1-1), Inter (3-3), Juventus (0-1).

 Lazio on the road not at all ( 0-4-3  7/13). They lost last game at home against napoli and petkovic is always contested by supporters.


D'ambrosio come back ( torino), while lazio will miss alvaro gonzales and biava. Klose is back but not at 100%.


odds 2.5 for HW are tempting me, but first play will be on goals.

odds 2.25 for over 2.5 and 1.9 for bts are value imo.

Torino scored in 6 out of 7 home games.

Torino conceded in 6 out of 7 home games.

Also on the road , in 5 out of 7 torino 's away games both teams scored.


Lazio is conceding for 5 consecutives games.

On the road they conceded 13 in 7 games.

both teams scored in 6 out of 7 lazio's away games.


bts @1.9   6.5/10


Torino @2.45    3.8/10

 

Napoli - Udinese

 

Napoli is coming from a really important victory on the road against lazio, after a big defeat on champions league.
Next week they will have to win against arsenal with a big margine to hope to can go on on champions league.

Udinese lost 3 out of last 4 games. Their away record is 1-0-6 , just 4 scored and 10 concessed.
Tomorrow they will miss their best 2 strikers: Muriel and Di Natale.

i really think the divary is too big. Udinese is one of the worst team on the road, they hardly find the net and without their 2 best strikers ( 7 of 12, 58.3%) it'll be still harder.
Napoli at home is one of the best teams, 5-1-1 with 15 scored and just 3 concessed.


Napoli - udinese 2-0 ris esatto  @8.5   1.5/10

Napoli to win at least by 2 ( 1 handicap) @2.67   4/10

 

 

Livorno - Milan

 

Milan is obtaining really good results lately.

They won on the road against celtic in champions league ( 0-3), so also with a draw at home against ajax will be good.
Now they are focused on serie a, where they won last away match against catania (1-3).

Really good news will be that mexes, abbiati, zapata and de sciglio are back. Milan at home conceded 7, but on the road 14. So defense is the problem and tomorrow allegri will have a good defense.
Poli will play on the midfield and other good news is that el shaarawy is back, also if He will probably start on the bench.
Moral is high and finally balotelli scored, and maybe he will be less nervous and play how he is able to.


On the other side livorno is 17th on the table and lost last 3 games. Coach nicola and all players are under big pressure.


Milan @1.71  4.5/10

 

 

 

CAGLIARI - GENOA x @3.48   4.5/10

 

Sassuolo - chievo @3.46   4.5/10

 

verona - atalanta 1 primo tempo@2.76  3/10 



 

 

 


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